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PUBLICATIONS
2022
Wang, X., Swystun, T and Flannigan, M.D. 2022. Future wildfire extent and frequency determined by the longest fire-conducive spell. Science of the Total Environment. link
Hanes, C., Wotton, M., Woolford, D.G., Martell, D.L. and Flannigan, M.D. 2022. Mapping organic layer thickness and fuel load of the boreal forest in Alberta, Canada. Geoderma. link
Sommers, M.D. and Flannigan, M.D. 2022. Green islands in a sea of fire: the role of fire refugia in the forests of Alberta. Environmental Reviews. link
Melnik, O. M., Paskaluk, S.A., Ackerman, M.Y., Melnik, K., Thompson, D.K., McAllister, S.S., Flannigan. M.D. 2022. New in-flame flammability testing method applied to monitor seasonal changes in live fuel. Fire 2022, 5(1), 1. link
2021
Wang, X., Swystun, T., Oliver, J., and Flannigan, M.D. 2021. One extreme fire weather event determines the extent and frequency of wildland fires. Environmental Research Letters. 16 114031. link
Jain, P., Castellanos-Acuna, D., Coogan, S.C.P. Abatzoglou, J.T., and Flannigan, M.D. 2021. Observed increases in extreme fire weather driven by atmospheric humidity and temperature. Nature Climate Change. link
Tymstra, C., Jain, P., Flannigan, M. 2021. Characterization of initial fire weather conditions for large spring wildfires in Alberta, Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire. link
Ellis, T. M., Bowman, D. M., Jain, P., Flannigan, M. D., & Williamson, G. J. (2021). Global increase in wildfire risk due to climate‐driven declines in fuel moisture. Global Change Biology. link
Jain, P. and Flannigan. M. 2021. The relationship between the polar jet stream and extreme wildfire events in North America: jet stream climatology and variability. Journal of Climate. link
Keeley, J.E., Guzman-Morales, J., Gershunov, A., Syphard, A., Cayan, D., Pierce, D.W., Flannigan, M. and Brown, T. J. 2021. Evaluating climate, weather and ignitions in driving Santa Ana Wind fires. Science Advances. 21 Jul 2021. Vol. 7, no. 30, eabh2262. link
Robinne, F-N., Hallema, D.W., Bladon, K. D., Flannigan, M.D., Boisramé, G., Bréthaut, C.M., Gallagher, L., Doerr, S.H., Baldassarre, GD., Hohner, A., Khan, S. J., Kinoshita, A.M., Martin, D., Mordecai, R., Nunes, J.P., Nyman, P., Santín, C., Sheridan, G., Stoof, C., Thompson, M.P., Waddington, J. M. and Wei, Y .2021. Scientists' warning on extreme wildfire risks to water supply. Hydrological Processes. link
Kharuk, V.I., Ponomarev, E.I., Ivanova, G.I., Dvinskaya, M.L., Coogan, S. and Flannigan, M. 2021. Wildfires in the Siberian Taiga. Ambio. link
2020
Coogan, S.C. P., Daniels, L.D., Burton, P.J. Flannigan, M.D., Gauthier, S., Kafka, V., Park, J.S. and Wotton, B. M.2020. Fifty years of wildland fire science in Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. link
Jain, P., Tye, M.R., Paimazumder, D and Flannigan, M. 2020. Downscaling fire weather extremes from historical and projected climate models. Climatic Change. link
Jain, P., Coogan, SC P., Subramanian, SG., Crowley, M.., Taylor, S., and Flannigan, MD. 2020. A review of machine learning applications in wildfire science and management. Environmental Reviews. link
Wang, X., Studens, K., Parisien, M-A., Taylor, S., Candau, J., Boulanger, Y. and Flannigan, M.2020. Projected changes in fire size from daily spread potential in Canada over the 21st century. Journal Environmental Research Letters. Accepted
Bowman, D.M.J.S., Kolden, C. A., Abatzoglou, J.T., Johnston, F.H., van der Werf, G.R., Flannigan, M.2020. Vegetation fires in the Anthropocene. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment. link
McElhinny, M., Beckers, J. F., Hanes, C., Flannigan, M. and Jain, P. 2020. A high-resolution reanalysis of global fire weather from 1979 to 2018 – Overwintering the Drought Code, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 1823–1833. link
Hanes, C., Wotton, M., Woolford, D.G., Martell, D.L and Flannigan, M.2020. Preceding Fall Drought Conditions and Overwinter Precipitation Effects on Spring Wildland Fire Activity in Canada. Fire 2020, 3, 24 link
Sakellariou, S., Parisien, M.-A., Flannigan, M., Wang, X., de Groot, W., Tampekis, S., Samara, F., Sfougaris, A. and Christopoulou, O. 2020. Spatial planning of fire-agency stations as a function of wildfire likelihood in Thasos, Greece. Science of the Total Environment. link
Coogan, S. C. P., Cai, X., Jain, P., Flannigan, M. D. (2020) Seasonality and trends in human- and lightning-caused wildfires ≥ 2 ha in Canada,959–2018. International Journal of Wildland Fire. link
2019
Erni, S., Wang, X., Taylor, S., Boulanger, Y., Swystun, T., Flannigan, M., Parisien, M-A. 2019. Developing a two-level fire regime zonation system for Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. Accepted.
Johnston, L., Wang, X., Erni, S., Taylor, S., McFayden, C., Oliver, J., Stockdale, C., Christianson, A., Boulanger, Y., Gauthier, S., Arseneault, Wotton, M., Parisien, M-A., Flannigan, M. 2019. Wildland fire risk research in Canada. Environmental Reviews. Accepted.
Dawe, D., Peters, V., Flannigan, M. 2019. Post-fire regeneration of endangered limber pine (Pinus flexilis) at the northern extent of its range. Forest Ecology and Management. link
Whitman, E., Parisien, M., Thompson, D.K., Flannigan, M. 2019. Short-interval wildfire and drought overwhelm boreal forest resilience. Scientific Reports volume 9, 18796(2019) link
Gibson, C., Estop-Aragonés, C., Flannigan, M., Thompson, D., and Olefeldt, D. 2019. Increased deep soil respiration detected despite reduced overall respiration in permafrost peat plateaus following wildfire. Environmental Research Letters, Volume 14, (2019) 125001Number 12 link
Tymstra, C., Stocks, B.J., Cai, X., Morrison, K., and Flannigan, M. 2019. Wildfire Management in Canada: Review, challenges and opportunities. Progress in Disaster Science. Accepted.
Tymstra, C., Woolford, D.G., and Flannigan, M.D. 2019. Statistical Surveillance Thresholds for Enhanced Situational Awareness of Spring Wildland Fire Activity in Alberta, Canada. Journal of Environmental Statistics. 9(4): Accepted.
Whitman, T., Whitman, E., Woolet, J., Flannigan, M., Thompson, D.K., and Parisien, M-A. 2019. Soil Bacterial and Fungal Response to Wildfires in the Canadian Boreal Forest Across a Burn Severity Gradient. Soil Biology and Biochemistry.138. link
Coogan, S. C. P., Robinne, François-Nicolas., Jain, P., and Flannigan, M.D .2019. Scientists’ warning on wildfire — a Canadian perspective. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 49: 1015–1023. link
Robinne, François-Nicolas., Bladon, K.D., Silins, U., Emelko, M.B., Flannigan, M.D., Parisien, M-A., Wang, X., Kienzle, S. W., and Dupont, D.P. 2019.A regional-scale index for assessing the exposure of 2 drinking-water sources to wildfires. Forests. 10, 384 link
Hanes, C., Wang, X., Jain, P., Parisien, M-A., Little, J. and Flannigan, M. 2019. Fire-regime changes in Canada over the last half century. Can. J. For. Res. 49: 256–269. link
Stockdale, C. A., Mcloughlin, N., Flannigan, M., Macdonald, S.E. 2019. Could restoration of a landscape to a pre-European historical vegetation condition reduce burn probability? Ecosphere 10(2):e02584. link
Cai, X., Wang, X., Jain, P., & Flannigan, M. D. 2019. Evaluation of gridded precipitation data and interpolation methods for forest fire danger rating in Alberta, Canada. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124,3–17. link
2018
Hanes, C., Wang, X., Jain, P., Parisien, M-A., Little, J. and Flannigan, M. 2018. Fire-regime changes in Canada over the last half century. Can. J. For. Res. 49: 256–269 (2019) link
Stockdale, C. A., Mcloughlin, N., Flannigan, M., Macdonald, S.E. 2019. Could restoration of a landscape to a pre-European historical vegetation condition reduce burn probability? Ecosphere 10(2) link
Cai, X., Wang, X., Jain, P., & Flannigan, M. D. 2019. Evaluation of gridded precipitation data and interpolation methods for forest fire danger rating in Alberta, Canada. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124,3–17. link
Whitman, T., Whitman, E., Woolet, J., Flannigan, M., Thompson, D.K., Parisien, M-A. 2018. Soil Bacterial and Fungal Response to Wildfires in the Canadian Boreal Forest Across a Burn Severity Gradient. bioRxiv. link
Kochtubajda, B., Stewart, R.E., Flannigan, M.D., Bonsal, B.R., Cuell, C. and Mooney, C.J. 2018. An assessment of surface and atmospheric conditions associated with the extreme 2014 wildfire season in Canada’s Northwest Territories. Atmosphere-Ocean. link
Barber, Q.E., Parisien, M-A., Whitman, E., Stralberg, D., Johnson, Chris J., St-Laurent, M-H., DeLancey, Evan R., Price, D.T., Arseneault, D., Wang, X., Flannigan, M.D. 2018. Potential impacts of climate change on the habitat of boreal woodland caribou. Ecosphere 9(10) link
Gibson, C., Chasmer, L.E., Thompson, D.K., Quinton, W., Flannigan, MD. and Olefeldt, D. 2018. Wildfire as a major driver of recent permafrost thaw in boreal peatlands. Nature Communications. 9:3041 | link
Sakellariou, S., Tampekis, S., Samara, F., Flannigan, M., Jaeger, D., Christopoulou, O.& Sfougaris, A..2018. Determination of fire risk to assist fire management for insular areas: the case of a small Greek island. Journal of Forestry Research. link
Campos-Ruiz, R., Parisien, M-A., and Flannigan, M.D. 2018. Temporal patterns of wildfire activity in areas of contrasting human influence in the Canadian boreal forest. Forests. 9(4), 159; link
Whitman, E., Parisien, M-A., Thompson, D. K., and Flannigan, M. D. 2018. Topoedaphic and forest controls on post-fire vegetation assemblies are modified by fire history and burn severity in the northwestern Canadian boreal forest. Forests. 9(3), 151; link
Whitman, E., Parisien, M-A., Thompson, D. K., Hall, R.J., Skakun, R. S. and Flannigan, M. D. 2018.Variability and drivers of burn severity in the northwestern Canadian boreal forest. Ecosphere. 9(2) link
Wilkinson, S., Moore, P., Flannigan, M., Wotton, M. and Waddington, J. 2018. Did enhanced afforestation cause high severity peat burn in the Fort McMurray Horse River wildfire? Environmental Research Letters. 13 (2018) 014018. link
Johnston, L. and Flannigan, M.D. 2018. Mapping Canadian wildland fire interface areas. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 27:1-14. link
Robinne, F.-N., Bladon, K.D., Miller, C., Parisien, M.A., Mathieu, J. and Flannigan M.D. 2018. A spatial evaluation of global wildfire-water risks to human and natural systems. State of the Total Environment. 610:1193-1206. link
2017
Pickell, P.D., Coops, N.C., Ferster, C.J., Bater, C.W., Blouin, K.D., Flannigan, M.D., and Zhang, J. 2017. An early warning system to forecast the close of the spring burning window from satellite-observed greenness. Scientific Reports. 7:14190. link
Sakellariou, S. Tampekis, S. Samara, F. Flannigan, M. Jaeger, D. Christopoulou, O. and Sfougaris, A. 2017. Determination of fire risk to assist fire management for insular areas. The case of a small Greek island. Journal of Forestry Research. link
Robinne, F-N., Bladon, K.D., Miller, C., Parisien, M.A., Mathieu, J., and Flannigan M.D. 2017. A spatial evaluation of global wildfire-water risks to human and natural systems. Science of the Total Environment. 610-611:1193-1206. pdf
Shan, Y. Wang, Y. Flannigan, M. Tang, S. Sun, P. and Du, F. 2017. Spatiotemporal variations in forest fire danger from 1996 to 2010 in Jilin Province, China. Journal of Forestry Research. 25(5):983-996. pdf
Kochtubajda, B., Brimelow, J., Flannigan, M., Morrow, B. and Greenhough, M.D. 2017. The Extreme 2016 Wildfire in Fort McMurray, Alberta, Canada. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. State of the Climate in 2016. pp.176-177. pdf
Whitman, E., Parisien, M.A., Price, D.T., St-Laurent, M-H., Johnson, C.J., DeLancey, E.R., Arseneault, D., and Flannigan M.D. 2017. A framework for modeling habitat quality in disturbance‐prone areas demonstrated with woodland caribou and wildfire. Ecosphere. 8(4). DOI:10.1002/ecs2.1787. pdf
Hanes, C.C., Jain, P., Flannigan, M.D., Fortin, and V., Roy, G. 2017. Evaluation of the Canadian Precipitation Analysis (CaPA) to improve forest fire danger rating. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 26(6):509-522. DOI: 10.1071/WF16170. pdf
Carry, G.J., Davies, I.D., Bradstock, R.A., Keane, R.E., and Flannigan, M.D. 2017. Importance of fuel treatment for limiting moderate-to-high intensity fire: findings from comparative fire modelling. Landscape Ecology. 32(7):1473-1483. link
Wotton, M., Flannigan, M.D., and Marshall, G.A. 2017. Potential climate change impacts on fire intensity and key wildfire suppression thresholds in Canada. Environmental Research Letters. link
Lagerquist, R., Flannigan, M.D., Wang, X., and Marshall, G.A. 2017. Automated prediction of extreme fire weather from synoptic patterns in northern Alberta, Canada. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 47:1175-1183. link
Wang, X., Parisien, M-A, Taylor, S., Candau, J-N., Stralberg, D., Marshall, G., Little, J., and Flannigan, M.D. 2017. Projected changes in daily fire spread across Canada over the next century. Environmental Research Letters. 12(2017) 025005. pdf
Wang, X., Wotton, M., Cantin, A., Parisien, M-A, Anderson, K., Moore, B., and Flannigan, M.D. 2017. An R package for the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System. Ecological Processes. link
2016
Robinne, F-N., Parisien, M.A., and Flannigan M.D. 2016. Anthropogenic influence on wildfire activity in Alberta, Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25:1131-1143. pdf
Parisien, M-A., Miller, C., Parks, S.A., DeLancey, E. and Flannigan, M.D. 2016.The spatially varying influence of humans on fire probability in North America. Environmental Research Letters. link
Rogeau, M-P., Flannigan, M.D., and Parisien M-A. 2016. Fire history sampling strategy of fire intervals associated with mixed- to full-severity fires in Southern Alberta, Canada. Forest Science.
Legrand, M., McConnell, J., Fischer, H., Wolff, E.W., Preunkert, S., Chellman, N. Leuenberger, D, Maselli, O., Sigl, M., Schupbach, S. and Flannigan, M. 2016. Boreal fire records in Northern Hemisphere ice cores: a review. Climate of the Past. 12:2033-2059. link
Rogeau, M-P. Flannigan, M.D. Hawkes, B.C. and Arthur, R.J. 2016. Fire regime departure in southern Alberta, Canada: implications for forest and wildfire management. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 25:1117-1130. pdf
Stockdale, C., Flannigan, M., and Macdonald, E. 2016. Is the END (emulation of natural disturbance) a new beginning? A critical analysis of the use of fire regimes as the basis of forest ecosystem management with examples from the Canadian western Cordillera. Environmental Reviews. 24:233-243. link
Abbott, B.W., Jones, J.B., Schuur, E.A.G., Chapin III, F.S., Bowden, W.B., Bret-Harte, M.S., Epstein, H.E., Flannigan, M.D., and others. 2016. Biomass offsets little or none of permafrost carbon release from soils, streams, and wildfire. An expert assessment. Environmental Research Letters 11, 034014. pdf
Robinne, F-N., Emelko, M., Miller, C., Bladon, K., Parisien, M-A., and Flannigan M.D. 2016. A global index for mapping the exposure of water resources to wildfire. Forests 7,22. link
Smith, A.M., Kolden, C.A., Paveglio, T.B., Cochrane, M.A., Bowman, D.M., Moritz, M.A., Klisley, A.D., Alessa, L., Hudak, A.T., Hoffman, C.M., Lutz, J.A., Queen, L.P., Goetz, S.J., Higuera, P.E., Boschetti, L., Flannigan. M.D., Yedinak, K.M., Watts, A.C., Strand, E.K., van Wagtendonk, J.W., Anderson, J.W., Stocks, B.J., and Abatzoglou, J.T. 2016. The science of firescapes: achieving fire resilient communities. Bioscience 66:130-146. link
Wang, X., Parisien, M-A., Taylor, S.W., Perrakis, D.D.B., Little, J.M., and Flannigan, M.D. 2016. Future burn probability in south-central British Columbia. International Journal of Wildland Fire25:200-212. pdf
Blouin, K.D. Flannigan, M.D. Wang, X., and Kochtubajda, B. 2016. Ensemble lightning prediction models for the province of Alberta, Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire 25:421-432. pdf
2015
French, N.H., Jenkins, L.K., Loboda, T.V., Flannigan, M.D., Jandt, R., Bourgeau-Chavez, L.L., and Whitley, M. 2015. Fire in arctic tundra of Alaska: past fire activity, future fire potential, and significance for land management and ecology. International Journal of Wildland Fire 24:1045-1061. pdf
Reisen, F., Duran, S.M., Flannigan, M.D., Elliott, C., and Rideout, K. 2015. Wildfire smoke and public health risk. International Journal of Wildland Fire 24:1029-1044. pdf
Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, B.M., Marshall, G.A., de Groot, W.J., Johnston, J., Jurko, N., and Cantin, A.S. 2015. Fuel moisture sensitivity to temperature and precipitation: climate change implications. Climatic Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1521-0. pdf
Flannigan, M.D. 2015. Fire evolution split by continent. News and Views. Nature Geoscience 8:167-168. DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2360. pdf
Kettridge, N., Turetsky, M.R., Sherwood, J.H., Thompson, D.K., Miller, C.A., Benscoter, B.W., Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, B.M., and Waddington, J.M. 2015. Moderate drop in water table increases peatland vulnerability to post-fire regime shift. (Nature) Scientific Reports 5:8063. DOI: 10.1038/srep08063. link
Price, O.F., Pausas, J.G., Govender, N., Flannigan, M.D., Fernandes, P.M., Brooks, M.L., and Bird, R.B. 2015. Global patterns in fire leverage: the response of annual area burnt to previous fire. International Journal of Wildland Fire 24:297-306. pdf
Wang, X., Thompson, D.K., Marshall, G.A., Tymstra, C., Carr, R., and Flannigan, M.D. 2015. Increasing frequency of extreme fire weather in Canada with climate change. Climatic Change 130:573-586. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1375-5. link
Field, R.D., Spessa, A.C., Aziz, N.A., Camai, A., Cantin, A., Carr, R., de Groot, W.J., Dowdy, A.J. Flannigan, M.D., Manomaiphiboon, K., Pappenberger, F., Tanpipat, V., and Wang, X. 2015. Development of a global fire weather database. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 15:1407-1423. DOI: 10.5194/nhess-15-1407-2015. link
2014
Lehsten, V., de Groot, W.J., Flannigan, M.D., George, C., Harmand, P., and Balzter H. 2014. Wildfires in boreal ecoregions: evaluating the power law assumption and intra-annual and inter-annual variations. Journal of Geophysical Research – Biogeosciences 119:14-23. DOI: 10.1002/ 2012JG002252. pdf
Parisien, M-A., Parks, S.A., Krawchuk, M.A., Little, J.M., Flannigan, M.D., Gowman, L.M., and Moritz, M.A. 2014. An analysis of controls on fire activity in boreal Canada: comparing models built with different temporal resolutions. Ecological Applications 24:1341-1356. DOI: 10.1890/ 13- 1477.1. pdf
Scotto, M.G., Gouveia, S., Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Martins, V., Flannigan, M.D., San Miguel- Ayanz, J., Miranda, A.I., and Borrego, C. 2014. Area burned in Portugal over the last decades: an extreme value analysis. International Journal of Wildland Fire 23:812-824. DOI: 10.1071/ WF13104. pdf
Wang, X., Parisien, M-A., Flannigan, M.D., Parks, S.A., Anderson, K.R., Little, J.M., and Taylor, S.W. 2014. The potential and realized spread of wildfires across Canada. Global Change Biology 20:2518-2530. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.12590. pdf
2013
Brandt, J.P., Flannigan, M.D., Maynard, D., Thompson, I., and Volney, W.J.A. 2013. An introduction to Canada’s boreal zone: ecosystem processes, health, sustainability and environmental issues. Environmental Reviews 21:207-226. pdf
de Groot, W.J., Flannigan, M.D., and Cantin, A.S. 2013. Climate change impacts on future boreal fire regimes. Forest Ecology and Management 294:35-44. pdf
de Groot, W.J., Cantin, A.S., Flannigan, M.D., Soja, A.J., Gowman, L.M., and Newbery, A. 2013. A comparison of Canadian and Russian boreal forest fire regimes. Forest Ecology and Management 294:23-34. pdf
Flannigan, M.D., Cantin, A.S., de Groot, W.J., Wotton, M., Newbery, A., and Gowman, L.M. 2013. Global wildland fire season severity in the 21st.century. Forest Ecology and Management 294:54-61.pdf
Keane, R., Cary, G., Flannigan, M.D., Parsons, R., Davies, I., King, K., Li, C., Bradstock, R., and Gill, A.M. 2013. Exploring the role of fire, succession, climate, and weather on landscape dynamics using comparative modeling. Ecological Modelling 266:172-186. pdf
Price, D.T., Alfaro, R.I., Brown, K.J., Flannigan, M.D., Fleming, R.A., Hogg, E.H., Girardin, M-P., Lakusta, T., Johnston, M., McKenney, D.W., Pedlar, J., Stratton, T., Sturrock, R., Thompson, I., Trofymow, J.A., and Venier, L.A. 2013. Anticipating the consequences of climate change for Canada’s boreal forest ecosystems. Environmental Reviews 21:322-365. link
2012
Waddington, J.M., Thompson, D.K., Wotton, M., Quinton, W.L., Flannigan, M.D., Benscoter, B.W., Baisley, S.A., and Turetsky, M.R. 2012. Examining the utility of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index System in boreal peatlands. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 42:47-58. pdf
2011
Benscoter, B.W., Thompson, D.K., Waddington, J.M., Flannigan, M.D., Wotton, B.M., de Groot, W.J., and Turetsky, M.R. 2011. Interactive effects of vegetation, soil moisture and bulk density on depth of burning of thick organic soils. International Journal of Wildland Fire 20:418-429. pdf
Beverly, J.L., Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J., and Bothwell, P. 2011. The association between Northern Hemisphere climate patterns and interannual variability in Canadian wildfire activity. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 41:2193-2201. pdf
Carvalho, A., Monteiro, A., Flannigan, M.D., Solman, S., Miranda, A.I., and Borrego, C. 2011. Forest fires in a changing climate and their impacts on air quality. Atmosphere Environment 45:5545-5553. pdf
Parisien, M-A., Parks, S.A., Krawchuk, M.A., Flannigan, M.D., Bowman, L.M., and Moritz, M.A. 2011. Scale-dependent controls on the area burned in the boreal forest of Canada, 1980-2005. Ecological Applications 21:789-805. pdf
Shabbar, A., Skinner, W., and Flannigan, M.D. 2011. Prediction of seasonal forest fire severity in Canada from large-scale climate patterns. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 50:785-799. pdf
2010
Drobyshev, I., Flannigan, M.D., Bergeron Y., Girardin, M-P., and Suran, B. 2010. Variation in local weather explains differences in fire regimes within a Quebec south-eastern boreal forest landscape. International Journal of Wildland Fire 19:1073-1082. pdf
Meyn, A., Taylor, S.W., Flannigan, M.D., Thonicke, K., and Cramer, W. 2010. Relationship between fire, climate oscillations, and drought in British Columbia, Canada, 1920-2000. Global Change Biology 16:977-989. Doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02061.x. pdf
Wang, Y., Flannigan, M.D., and Anderson, K. 2010. Correlations between forest fires in British Columbia, Canada, and sea surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean. Ecological Modelling. 221:112-129. pdf
Wotton, B.M., Nock, C.A., and Flannigan, M.D. 2010. Forest fire occurrence and climate change in Canada. International Journal of Wildland Fire 19:253-271. pdf
Carvalho, A., Flannigan, M.D., Logan, K.A., Gowman, L.M., Miranda, A.I. and C. Borrego. (2010). The impact of spatial resolution on area burned and fire occurrence projections in Portugal under climate change. Climatic Change, 98, 177-197. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-009-9667-2. pdf
2009
Le Goff, H., Flannigan, M., and Bergeron, Y. (2009). Potential changes in monthly fire risk in the eastern Canadian boreal forest under future climate change. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 39, 2369-2380. DOI: 10.1139/X09-153. pdf
Flannigan, M.D., Krawchuk, M.A., de Groot, W.J., Wotton, B.M. and Gowman, L.M. (2009). Implications of changing climate for global wildland fire. International Journal of Wildland Fire,18, 483-507. pdf
Jiang, Y., Zhuang, Q., Flannigan, M. and J. Little (2009). Characterization of wildfire regimes in Canadian boreal terrestrial ecosystems. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 18, 992-1002. DOI: 10.1079/WF08096. pdf
Spracklen, D.V., Mickley, L.J., Logan, J.A., Hudman, R.C., Yevich, R., Flannigan, M.D. and Westerling, A.L. (2009). Impacts of climate change from 2000 to 2050 on wildfire activity and carbonaceous aerosol concentrations in the western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114, D20301, DOI:10.1029/2008JD010966. pdf
Flannigan, M.D., Stocks, B.J., Turetsky, M.R. and Wotton, B.M. (2009). Impact of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest. Global Change Biology, 15: 549-560. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01660.x. pdf
Balshi, M.S., McGuire, A.D., Duffy, P., Flannigan, M., Kicklighter, D.W., and Melillo, J. (2009). Vulnerability of carbon storage in North American boreal forests to wildfires during the 21st Century. Global Change Biology. 15, 1491-1510. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01877.x. pdf
Amiro, B.D., Cantin, A., Flannigan, M.D. and de Groot, W. (2009). Future Emissions from Canadian Boreal Forest Fires. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 39, 383-395. DOI: 10.1139/X08-154. pdf
Drever, C.R., Bergeron Y., Drever, M.C., Flannigan, M., Logan,T. and Messier, C. (2009). Effects of climate on occurrence and size of large fires in a northern hardwood landscape: historical trends, future predictions, and implications for climate change in Témiscamingue, Québec. Applied Vegetation Science,12, 261-272. DOI: 10.1111/j.1654-109X.2009.01035.x. pdf
Cary, G., Flannigan, M., Keane, R., Bradstock, R., Davies, I., Li, C., Lenihan, J., Logan, K., and Parsons, R. (2009). Relative importance of fuel management, ignition management and weather for area burned: Evidence from five landscape-fire-succession models. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 18,147-156,DOI: 10.1071/WF07085. pdf
Book Chapters
2014
de Groot, W.J., Wotton, B.M. and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Wildland Fire Danger Rating and Early Warning Systems. Wildfire, Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. D. Paton. Elsevier. pp. 207-228.
Paton, D., Buergelt, P.T., and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Ensuring that we can see the wood and the Trees: Growing the Capacity for Ecological Wildfire Risk Management. Wildfire, Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. D. Paton. Elsevier. pp. 247-262.
de Groot, W.J. and Flannigan, M.D. 2014. Climate change and early warning systems for wildland fire. Chapter 7. Reducing Disaster: Early Warning Systems and Climate Change. Edited by Z. Zommers and A. Singh. Springer. pp. 127-151.
2013
Stocks, B.J. and Flannigan, M.D. 2013. Current fire regimes, impacts and likely changes: Past, Current and Future Boreal Fire Activity in Canada. Chapter 4. Vegetation Fires and Climate Change. Edited By J.G. Goldammer. Kessel Publishing House pp. 39-50.
Flannigan, M.D., Gowman, L.M., Wotton, B.M. Krawchuk, M.A., de Groot, W.J. and Stocks, B.J. 2013. Modelling future wildland fire in the Circumboreal. Chapter 15. Vegetation Fires and Climate Change. Edited By J.G. Goldammer. Kessel Publishing House pp. 209-224.
2011
Keane, R.E., G. Cary, and M. Flannigan. 2011. Challenges and needs in fire management: A landscape simulation modeling perspective. Book Chapter. Pages 77-89 In: Li, Chao, R Lafortezza, and J. Chen (editors) Landscape ecology in forest management and conservation: Challenges and solutions for global change. Springer, Higher Education Press, Beijing, China ISBN: 978-7-04-029136-0
2009
Le Goff, H., Flannigan, M., Bergeron, Y., Leduc, A., Gauthier. S. and K. Logan. 2009. Management solutions to face climate change, the example of forest fires. In Ecosystem Management in the boreal forest, S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (Eds). Presses de l'Université du Québec, pp.103-127.
Girardin, M., Flannigan, M., Tardif, J. and Y. Bergeron. 2009. Climate, weather and forest fire. In, Ecosystem Management in the boreal forest, S. Gauthier, M-A Vaillancourt, A. Leduc, L. De Grandpré, D. Kneeshaw, H. Morin, P. Drapeau and Y. Bergeron (Eds). Presses de l'Université du Québec, pp. 79-102.
Reports
2010
Krezek-Hanes, C.C., Flannigan, M.D. and Cantin A. 2010. Trends in large fires in Canada, 1959-2007. Canadian biodiversity: ecosystem status and trends 2010. Technical Thematic Report. No. 6. pdf
Theses
2019
Whitman, E. 2019. Burn severity and fire history in the northwestern Canadian boreal forest: drivers and ecological outcomes. PhD thesis. University of Alberta. link
Koroscil, S. 2019. The influences of fuel moisture and diameter on pyrogenic carbon production in fine woody debris from three boreal tree species under simulated surface fire conditions. link
Dawe, D. 2019. Post-fire regeneration of endangered limber pine (Pinus flexilis) at the northern extent of its range. MSc thesis. University of Alberta. link
2018
Drummond Salvador, L. 2018. Fire and whitebark pine recovery strategies: drivers of post-fire natural regeneration. MSc thesis. University of Alberta. link
2017
Robinne, F-N. 2017. More people, more fire, less water: exploring wildfire risks to water security in a changing world. University of Alberta. 201 pp. pdf
Gibson, C. 2017. Long term effects of wildfire on permafrost stability and carbon cycling in northern peatlands. University of Alberta. 109 pp. pdf
Cai, X. 2017. Improved forest fire danger rating using regression kriging with the Canadian Precipitation (CaPA) system in Alberta. University of Alberta. 101 pp. pdf
Barnes, D. 2017. Fuel moisture changes from sprinkler-watering treatments in interior Alaska boreal forests. University of Alberta. 111 99. pdf
Stockdale, C. 2017. A century of landscape change in the southern Rocky Mountains and Foothills of Alberta: Using historical photography to quantify ecological change. University of Alberta. 210 pp. pdf
2016
Johnston, L. 2016. Mapping Canadian wildland fire interface area. University of Alberta. 171 pp. pdf
Morrison, K. 2016. Factors that influence daily human-caused forest fires in Alberta. University of Alberta. 120 pp. pdf
Melnik, O. 2016. A proposed experimental methodology for assessing the effects of biophysical properties and energy content on live fuel flammability. University of Alberta. 197 pp. pdf
Rogeau M-P. 2016. Fire regimes of Southern Alberta, Canada. University of Alberta. 176 pp. pdf
Fleming, T. 2016. Water-level change in boreal lakes as an indicator of area burned and number of ignitions in the Canadian prairie provinces. University of Alberta. 66 pp. pdf
Sharpe, M. 2016. Investigating fire as a silvicultural tool for regeneration of mountain pine beetle-killed serotinous pine of northern Alberta. University of Alberta. 103 pp. pdf
2015
Moore, B. 2015. Increasing wildfire growth modelling decision support using ensemble weather forecasts over the province of Alberta, Canada. University of Alberta. 125 pp. pdf
2014
Schiks, T. 2014. Fuel moisture and sustained flaming in masticated fuelbeds. University of Toronto. 103 pp. pdf
Blouin, K. 2014. Lightning prediction models for the province of Alberta, Canada. University of Alberta. 132 pp. pdf
2013
Chen, Y. 2013. Retrieving surface peat moisture in an Albertan bog with Radarsat-2. University of Alberta. 85 pp. pdf
Hwang, H. 2013. Using fire to trigger cone opening in aerial seedbanks in healthy or recently dead jack pine stands. University of Alberta. 70 pp. pdf